Valuation Sets the Stage
| Using classic valuation criteria, ICON calculates intrinsic value for approximately 2,000 U.S. stocks in addition to approximately 2,300 foreign securities from more than 30 overseas countries. Fundamentally, ICON projects earnings growing into the future and then discounts these projections back to their present value according to risk and interest rates (opportunity cost). |
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Value is then divided by the market price to calculate a value-to-price ratio (V/P), which is used to determine whether an individual security is under- or overpriced relative to our estimate of intrinsic value. By computing equal-weighted averages for all stocks across the 154* industries comprising the Standard & Poor's Composite 1500 Index, ICON determines a V/P ratio for each of 154* industries.
Industry Emphasis We believe markets have themes in which certain industries assume leadership roles generally for a period of one to two years. Industry V/P ratios are used to identify those industries that are under- or overpriced relative to our estimate of intrinsic value.
This approach is based on our belief that random risk is highest at the individual stock level. By stressing industry exposure and holding a selected number of stocks within an industry, we hope to reduce the random risk associated with individual securities. Moreover, although we tilt our portfolios toward favored industries, we tend to limit the portfolios exposure to any one stock.
Relative Strength Since value analysis may lead us to buy stocks and industries before they are ready to move, we also employ a relative strength calculation. By comparing company, industry and sector performance to the broad market, we attempt to identify underpriced issues that are demonstrating leadership and therefore are favorably positioned to outperform the market.
Above-average performance, however, should not be confused with weekly or monthly moves. Given that relative strength is continuously computed using the trailing 26-week period, this reading is generally insulated from short-term dips or surges.